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May 05, 2008

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CinToronto

Hello John: I don't know if TREB will correct their error, but the price increase over last year in GTA as a whole is only 5%. They should have been able to catch this because they note that the City of Toronto rose by 6% while the 905 rose by 5%.

John Pasalis

Thanks CinToronto, I updated the post.

Rob M

>>It appears as though TREB is slowly building their case against the City of Toronto land transfer tax.

If this is the case, this is TREB playing politics and obscuring the reality of a softening market - Miller is an easy target on the tax. They've been doing a lot of it lately. The words 'balanced' and 'cooling' speak much to the backpedaling.

The real estate bears could, with equal or greater accuracy, say that more people are giving upon on the 416 due to overall affordability [where prop tax is just a small component] and heading back to the 905.

April's numbers weren't definitive either way but there was some pent up winter buyers waiting to get out there owing to weather and still low mortgage rates. I think once the spring buying season is done, we'll see a new market that will show just how strong things are. On deck, coming concerns over a lot more credit crunching to come -- the no money down, 40yr buyers and speculators will evaporate. Cost of borrowing is already showing up on the banking side in the US ...

There is a definite split among people out there but this time there are some very real economic indicators to be concerned about, it just hasn't filtered down to the heavily leveraged among us just yet.

Thin edge of the wedge? we'll see.

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