This month’s real estate roundtable brings together John Pasalis, Steve Saretsky, and mortgage broker David Larock for an in-depth look at where the housing market may be headed next.
WATCH NOW: A 25-Year Low in GTA Home Sales -What Comes Next for 2026?
We kick things off by unpacking the surprising end to 2025, with GTA home sales on pace to hit a 25-year low. The panel breaks down the forces behind the slowdown and how both buyers and sellers are navigating today’s shifting landscape.
The conversation then turns to the conflicting expectations around the Bank of Canada’s next move. While some economists still anticipate additional rate cuts, one major Canadian bank is now calling for a rate hike in 2026 - a scenario that would have seemed unlikely just months ago. We dig into what this could mean for borrowers, upcoming mortgage renewals, and how price expectations might shift under different rate paths.
We close the discussion by sharing our 2026 market outlook, the indicators we’re watching most closely, and whether next year could mark a long-awaited turning point - or simply the continuation of a challenging market cycle.
John Pasalis is President of Realosophy Realty. A specialist in real estate data analysis, John’s research focuses on unlocking micro trends in the Greater Toronto Area real estate market. His research has been utilized by the Bank of Canada, the Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Have questions about your own moves in the Toronto area as a buyer, seller, investor or renter? Book a no-obligation consult with John and his team at a Realosophy here: https://www.movesmartly.com/meetjohn