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Toronto Real Estate Prices Drop 6% in September

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John Pasalis in Toronto Real Estate News

The average price for a home in the city of Toronto dropped 6% in September, the sharpest price decline we've seen in over ten years. 

The average sale price dropped to $393,647 from the September 2007 average of $420,182.  During the first half of September prices were relatively flat compared to last year which means that the entire decline in September occurred in the last two weeks of the month.  I suspect that the negative economic outlook due to the financial turmoil in the US was certainly a factor in this decline.  It will be interesting to see how US markets react over the next month as Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson puts the $700B bailout into action.

Prices remained virtually flat in the 905 region and prices in the Greater Toronto area dropped by 3%

Sales in the GTA were down just 6% to 6,424 in September, a moderate decline when compared to the 14% drop in sales year to date.

It's interesting to note the striking difference in sales and price declines between the city of Toronto and the 905 region.  Prices dropped 6% in the city of Toronto while remaining flat in the 905 area.  Sales declined by just 3% in the 905 area compared to an 11% drop in the city of Toronto.  These results are consistent with a trend we've been seeing between these two regions for most of 2008.

Septsales_2

The Toronto Real Estate Board has long argued that the city of Toronto land transfer tax would impact real estate sales in the city.  I was a little reluctant to accept this assumption at first but the sales data for this year is showing some significant differences between the two regions.

What are your thoughts?  Do you think the city of Toronto Land Transfer tax has impacted sales in the city of Toronto?  If not, how would you explain the significant difference in sales and prices between the two regions?

You can read TREB's complete press realease here.

Download September's Market Watch report here.

John Pasalis is a sales associate at Prudential Properties Plus in Toronto and a founder of Realosophy. Email John

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John Pasalis
John Pasalis
John Pasalis is President of Realosophy Realty, a Toronto real estate brokerage which uses data analysis to advise residential real estate buyers, sellers and investors. A specialist in real estate data analysis, John's research focuses on unlocking micro trends in the Greater Toronto Area real estate market. His research has been shared with the IMF and cited by the Bank of Canada and CMHC. A frequent commentator on the Toronto housing market and real estate consumer and industry issues, John has contributed to the Globe and Mail, CBC, BNN Bloomberg, TVO's The Agenda, Toronto Star and other media, national and international government and industry organizations. John holds a B.Sc. in Economics from the University of Toronto and is a candidate in the Doctorate of Business Administration Program at the University of Toronto and Henley Business School (UK).
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