The Canadian economy's most recent inflation numbers mean a rate cut is less likely - unless the U.S. Fed forces the Bank of Canada's hand.

If you are keeping an eye on mortgage rates, then you have probably been reading a lot about inverted yield curves lately.

The Bank of Canada is signalling an interest rate hike...so why is the bond market betting on a cut?

With inflation under control, will weaker economic data mean the Bank of Canada may soon look to cut interest rates?

If it's healthier for the economy when more of us choose longer-term mortgages, Ottawa can do something to make this happen.

Last week we learned that Canadian GDP contracted by 0.14% in February on a month-over-month basis.

Have the Bank of Canada's overly optimistic forecasts actually hurt our overall economic momentum?

Will the Bank of Canada continue to shift to a more dovish outlook given latest economic developments?

The five-year Government of Canada (GoC) bond yield, which our five-year fixed mortgage rates are priced on, has been on a wild ride of late.

The Bank of Canada is downplaying expectations that its next rate move will be a cut - but it may not have as much choice as it wants.

Canadian fixed mortgage rates have been on a steady downward march of late.

The Liberal Government of Canada has released a budget that seeks to help beleaguered first-time buyers - but will it help?

A variable-rate mortgage sounds like a slam dunk in the current environment, but it may not be.

Given conflicting economic data, will the Bank of Canada raise or lower rates?

Will the Bank of Canada put an end to rate hike speculation when it meets this week?

Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz way want higher rates, but he needs stable inflation.  

The Canadian economy added 66,800 new jobs in January vs. 8,000 expected - so why aren't our mortgage rates impacted?

A key policy statement from south of the border suggests that our mortgage rates are unlikely to rise in Canada.

Will the latest in the trouble spots of Canadian oil prices, house prices and global trade policy change the Bank of Canada's intention to hike rates?

Has the Bank of Canada rushed too far in front of an uncertain economy?

 Frothy economic hopes are dissipating, making future mortgage rate increases unlikely.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike its policy rate by another 0.25% when it meets this Wednesday. The question that is being actively debated is whether it...

Just like that, all of the dire warnings about rapidly rising Canadian mortgage rates disappeared faster than cookies and carrots on Christmas Eve. 

The Bank of Canada, in a softening of its stance, is not expected to raise its policy rate this week so variable mortgage rates should hold steady - and perhaps start falling...

The Bank of Canada (BoC) is caught between a rock (rising inflationary pressures) and a hard place (waning economic momentum).

Today’s post returns to the question that every borrower I work with loves to ask: “Should I choose a five-year fixed- or variable-rate mortgage today?"

The Bank of Canada continues to signal policy-rate hikes soon, but does the current economic data support additional near-term increases?

The Bank of Canada remains on course to raise interest rates - pushing up mortgage rates - but will lagging wage growth give it pause?

The Bank of Canada has signalled that rates will continue to rise - but for how long given larger economic data trends?

Will current optimism about Canada's economy push our mortgage rates up?

If you’re keeping an eye on Canadian mortgage rates, keep your other eye focused on what is happening south of the border.

How will the new United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (USMCA) impact the Canadian economy - and our mortgage rates?

Now that U.S. rates have increased - will Canadians rates mortgage rates follow?

After years without rate increases, variable rate borrowers may soon see an increase for the fifth time in a row - is it time to lock into a fixed rate?

An insider looks back on the impact of the 2008 U.S. subprime mortgage crisis from a Canadian perspective.

If the Bank of Canada has moved to responding to fast-moving incoming data, will rates really rise in late October as currently expected?

Many expect the Bank of Canada to raise rates in late October - but does NAFTA uncertainty make that less likely?

While the consensus expects another BoC rate rise in October, economic data between now and then may suggest otherwise. 

Why did Canadian bond yields, which our five-year fixed mortgage rates are priced on, finish lower in spite of a jump in new jobs?

Here are five news items from last week that should be of interest to anyone keeping an eye on Canadian mortgage rates.

The key question for anyone keeping an eye on Canadian mortgage rates. 

Last Friday we learned that overall Canadian inflation, as measured by our Consumer Price Index (CPI), came in at 2.5% in June, and that result was higher than the consensus...

The Bank of Canada (BoC) raised its overnight rate by 0.25% last Wednesday and it now stands at 1.5%. The move was widely expected, and Canadian lenders quickly increased their...

It is widely expected that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will raise its overnight rate by another 0.25% when it meets this week, and if it does, lenders will pass that increase on...

In its most recent policy statement released on May 30, the Bank of Canada (BoC) gave every indication that it would raise its overnight rate, which our variable mortgage rates...

The Bank of Canada just got another reminder about the perils of offering forward guidance.

The Bank of Canada (BoC) held its policy rate steady last week but warned in its accompanying statement that our next rate hike is not far off.

As the variable-rate mortgage wars rage on, savvy borrowers are advised to look carefully at the terms and conditions in their mortgage contract.

In last week’s post I made the case for five-year variable rates over their fixed-rate equivalents, based on my current view of where our economy is headed. 

It’s time for a fresh look at the question every borrower loves to ask: Is now a good time to choose a fixed or variable rate?

Last week TD Canada Trust raised its five-year posted rate from 5.14% to 5.59%, and shortly thereafter, Royal Bank and National Bank increased their five-year posted rates from...

The Bank of Canada (BoC) left its overnight rate unchanged last week, as most market watchers expected. The Bank also released its latest quarterly Monetary Policy Report...

The Bank of Canada (BoC) meets this Wednesday, and while most market watchers aren’t expecting the Bank to raise its overnight rate at this meeting there is still the...

Last Friday Statistics Canada released our latest employment report, for March.

Last week, Statistics Canada confirmed that our economic momentum slowed sharply in January as our GDP fell by 0.1% over the month. The drop was primarily attributed to sharp...

Last week Statistics Canada confirmed that year-over-year overall inflation growth spiked from 1.7% in January to 2.2% in February. At the same time, two of the three gauges...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

When the Bank of Canada (BoC) met last week, it left its overnight rate unchanged, as expected.

The only real...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

Last Thursday, seemingly out of the blue, President Trump announced that the U.S. would impose a 25% tariff on...

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Our January inflation data have provided the latest fuel for the ongoing debate about when the Bank of Canada (BoC)...

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After thirteen straight months of impressive gains, Canada’s labour market hit the brakes hard last month.

Our...

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Last Friday U.S. bond yields surged higher as investors reacted to the release of a stronger-than-expected U.S....

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The consensus continues to believe that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will raise its policy rate by another 0.50% to...

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The Bank of Canada (BoC) raised its policy rate by 0.25% last week, and it now stands at 1.25%.

Lender prime rates...

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In today’s post I offer my forecast for five-year variable rates in 2018. (FYI - You can read my forecast for...

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Welcome back!

First off, I’d like to wish a very happy new year to my readers.

In today’s post I offer my forecast...

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Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

The Bank of Canada (BoC) left its policy rate unchanged last week, as expected.

In its accompanying statement the...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

Last Friday Statistics Canada confirmed that our economy added a whopping 79,500 new jobs in November, and that...

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On January 1, 2018, our regulators will implement a sixth round of mortgage rule changes as part of their ongoing...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

Anyone keeping an eye on Canadian mortgage rates should pay close attention to our inflation data, which contain...

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As of January 1, 2018, everyone who borrows from a federally regulated mortgage lender must qualify using the ...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

Last week we received the Canadian employment data for October, which was better than expected.

Our economy added...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

The Bank of Canada (BoC) left its policy rate unchanged last week, as expected. The Bank also sounded more cautious...

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In Part One of my four-part series covering our Department of Finance’s latest round of mortgage-rule changes, we...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance

In Part One of this series about the upcoming mortgage-rule changes, we focused on the first change that takes...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

In Part One, we focused on the mortgage-rule change that will take effect on October 17, 2016. Today, in Part Two,...

Dave Larock in Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

** Update on the Mortgage Qualifying Rate stress-test that was to be implemented on Oct 17^th – The Department of...

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Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every Mon for...

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every Mon for...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every Mon for...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Mon Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Mon Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home Buying

Editor's Note: Mon Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home BuyingEditor's Note: Mon Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home BuyingEditor's Note: Mon Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finances, Home BuyingEditor's Note: Mon Morning Interest Rate Update appears weekly on this blog - check back every...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News  

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

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Dave Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

This week we’ll focus on some recent currency-related news and look at...

David Larock in Monday Interest Rate Update, Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Editor's Note: Dave's Monday Morning Interest Rate Update appears on...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Last week the U.S. Federal Reserve replaced its pledge to keep its policy rate in a range of 0.00...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

My ears are still ringing from the peal of celebratory trumpets that blared in response to the...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future” - Yogi Berra.

Trying to predict the...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Last Friday Statistics Canada released its latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) and it showed prices...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Toronto Real Estate News

Variable-rate mortgage discounts aren’t what they used to be and for that reason, I have tended to favour...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Now that the U.S. election is over, markets will shift their attention back to the European Union...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Statistics Canada recently changed the way it calculates key economic data to bring its methods...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

When the Bank of Canada (BoC) released its latest interest-rate statement last Tuesday it did not...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

When Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Mark Carney speaks, the experts I read carefully parse his...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Last week was a slow one for new economic data so in today’s Update I’m taking a step back and...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Monthly employment reports should be closely monitored by anyone keeping an eye on mortgage rates...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Market bulls hoped that when U.S. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke finally gave investors the...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

We started last week just hoping to dodge a German constitutional bullet but by the time it was...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Here are the three most important developments last week that related to Canadian mortgage rates:

...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

When U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke stepped to the podium at Jackson Hole last Friday...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

The week ahead will be an important one for anyone keeping an eye on mortgage rates because the...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Mark Carney has made it clear that he wants to raise interest rates...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

To my surprise, Government of Canada (GoC) bond yields (on which our fixed-mortgage rates are...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

It was a strange week for Government of Canada (GoC) bond yields (on which our fixed-mortgage rates...

David Larock in Mortgages and Finance, Home Buying, Toronto Real Estate News

When Spanish bond yields spiked to euro-zone record highs last week I wasn’t surprised to hear the...