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Are you Still Waiting for Toronto’s Real Estate Market to Crash?

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John Pasalis in Toronto Real Estate News

In August 2008 we ran a poll on our blog asking readers if Toronto would be spared a major real estate correction.  The Bears won the poll with 73% answering “Smart home owners should sell their houses now and start renting”.

A lot has happened since last August.  From October 2008 to February 2009, the peak of the financial crisis, real estate sales plummeted by almost 50% in Toronto with prices declining by as much as 10%.      A period with too many sellers and not enough buyers is very characteristic of a declining real estate market.

Since then we’ve seen a dramatic turnaround in the Toronto market.  We moved from a strong Buyer’s market in the winter to a strong Seller’s market in the spring.  Today, the demand from buyers outweighs the supply of homes from sellers and as a result we are seeing bidding wars for many Toronto homes.

In May 2009, real estate sales increased by 2% over the previous year, the first increase since December 2007.  I expect to see a double digit increase in sales for the first half of June 2009.

With sales clearly on the rise and bidding wars on many Toronto houses are the economists right when they say that the worst of Canada’s real estate slump is over

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John Pasalis is the Broker owner of Realosophy Realty Inc in Toronto. Email John

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John Pasalis
John Pasalis
John Pasalis is President of Realosophy Realty, a Toronto real estate brokerage which uses data analysis to advise residential real estate buyers, sellers and investors. A specialist in real estate data analysis, John's research focuses on unlocking micro trends in the Greater Toronto Area real estate market. His research has been shared with the IMF and cited by the Bank of Canada and CMHC. A frequent commentator on the Toronto housing market and real estate consumer and industry issues, John has contributed to the Globe and Mail, CBC, BNN Bloomberg, TVO's The Agenda, Toronto Star and other media, national and international government and industry organizations. John holds a B.Sc. in Economics from the University of Toronto and is a candidate in the Doctorate of Business Administration Program at the University of Toronto and Henley Business School (UK).

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