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Toronto Real Estate: A Seller's Market

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John Pasalis in Toronto Real Estate News

Home sales in the Greater Toronto Area increased by almost 2% to 9,589 in May 2009, the first monthly increase since December 2007.   Average prices decreased by less than 1% to $395,609.

Toronto’s real estate market continues to experience a significant shortage of new properties coming on the market.  The number of new listing declined by 27% in May 2009, a slight improvement over the 30% decline recorded in April 2009.  The following chart shows the new listings for 2009 in purple.

NewListings

This shortage in the supply of homes is what is driving the multiple offers many Toronto home buyers have been experiencing over the past couple of months.    

We can see the imbalance between supply and demand by looking at Toronto’s sales-to-inventory ratio.  The sales-to-inventory ratio jumped to 45% in May 2009 moving us well in to Seller’s Market territory.  A sales-to-inventory of 45% means that for every 100 houses available for sale, 45 actually sell.  In a more balanced market we would expect to see a sales-to-inventory ratio between 15%-25%.

SalesToInventory

“The average resale home price has moved in line with last year’s level because of tighter market conditions experienced this Spring,” stated Jason Mercer, TREB’s Senior Manager of Market Analysis. “Home sales have increased strongly relative to new listings, bolstering home prices.”

Table 
Download TREB's Market Watch Report

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John Pasalis is the Broker owner of Realosophy Realty Inc in Toronto. Email John

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John Pasalis
John Pasalis
John Pasalis is President of Realosophy Realty, a Toronto real estate brokerage which uses data analysis to advise residential real estate buyers, sellers and investors. A specialist in real estate data analysis, John's research focuses on unlocking micro trends in the Greater Toronto Area real estate market. His research has been shared with the IMF and cited by the Bank of Canada and CMHC. A frequent commentator on the Toronto housing market and real estate consumer and industry issues, John has contributed to the Globe and Mail, CBC, BNN Bloomberg, TVO's The Agenda, Toronto Star and other media, national and international government and industry organizations. John holds a B.Sc. in Economics from the University of Toronto and is a candidate in the Doctorate of Business Administration Program at the University of Toronto and Henley Business School (UK).
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